Jun 6, 2025; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago White Sox center fielder Luis Robert Jr. (88) hits an RBI single during the second inning against the Kansas City Royals at Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images The Tuesday MLB card is loaded with 15 games on display and plenty of home run props to choose from. Two of the key matchups feature division rivalries as the New York Mets visit the Atlanta Braves, while the Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres.
We’ll break down three home run plays for Tuesday’s action. Remember to monitor the odds throughout the day, as the props market is constantly changing.
Here are the free MLB home run picks for Tuesday, June 17:
Best MLB HR Prop Bets today
Guerrero Jr. (+550)
Robert Jr. (+400)
Garcia (+390)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays (+550 at DraftKings)
The Toronto Blue Jays return home looking to snap a three-game losing streak as they host the Arizona Diamondbacks this evening.
Blue Jays slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit eight home runs this season, with six of them coming at home. Guerrero is seeking his first long ball since May 29 as he tries to break a 14-game slump without a home run.
Diamondbacks right-hander Brandon Pfaadt has yielded 14 home runs this season, including 11 in road starts.
Guerrero leads the Blue Jays in expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA) at .407, which combines exit velocity and launch angle.
Pfaadt has compiled a hard-hit rate of 52.8%, up from 39.4% last season.
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Luis Robert Jr., Chicago White Sox (+400 at DraftKings)
The Chicago White Sox look to get their offense going at home after getting swept by the Texas Rangers this past weekend.
The Sox welcome the St. Louis Cardinals in interleague action, as left-hander Matthew Liberatore takes the mound for the Redbirds.
Liberatore has struggled in his two June starts, allowing 12 runs and three homers in losses to the Royals and Blue Jays.
White Sox slugger Luis Robert Jr. looks to take advantage tonight and break a four-game cold streak without a home run. Robert has six homers this season but only one since May 3.
Robert ranks among the top White Sox hitters in hard-hit rate at 45.8%, while slugging .429 against four-seam fastballs. Liberatore has allowed three of his seven home runs this season on four-seamers, as opposing batters have a 14.9% whiff rate on those pitches.
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Adolis Garcia, Texas Rangers (+390 at DraftKings)
The Texas Rangers have caught fire of late with wins in seven of their last eight games. Tonight, the Rangers host the slumping Kansas City Royals, who head to Arlington on a six-game slide.
Outfielder Adolis Garcia hit 39 home runs during the Rangers’ run to the World Series title in 2023 but has leveled off this season with eight home runs in 67 games.
Garcia has hit one home run in June and seeks his first homer at home since May 14. His average exit velocity this season is 93.2 mph, a career high.
Royals right-hander Seth Lugo has been taken deep 12 times this season, including five times in his last four starts. Lugo is allowing a career-high .515 expected slugging percentage (xSLG) and a 48.1% hard-hit rate, up from 39% in 2024.
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